Senior Advisor of Shi Pomao: Japan must be prepared for Trump tariffs. One of Japan's top security officials said that Japan needs to be prepared for the threat of US President-elect Trump to impose tariffs on Canada and Mexico, and adjust the supply chain to reduce the collateral damage to Japanese enterprises. Akihisa Nagashima, national security adviser to Japanese Prime Minister Shi Pomao, said that during his recent visit to the United States, he had a "frank" communication with Trump team members on tariff issues. "I realized that Japan must be ready for Trump to implement his plan," he said.Guotai Junan: It is expected that the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, and there is a strong opportunity and space for rebound. Guotai Junan Securities recently reported that the lithium price has entered the bottom range by the end of 2024. If the demand maintains the current neutral estimate in 2025, the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range. At present, the market is optimistic about the demand in 2025, and the industry supply has slowed down. It is estimated that the price trend of lithium will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, in which the stage is affected by seasonal factors and there is a strong rebound opportunity and space. The market expected the trading of lithium plate earlier, that is, when the commodity price bottomed out, the lithium plate already contained the expectation of industrial clearing. When the industry actually enters the stage of supply and clearing, the sector will trade commodity price reversal expectations. From this, we infer that the rise of lithium plate will start before the spot price reverses.Market news: Trump's advisers seek to reduce or cancel banking regulators.
A delegation of Japanese young and middle-aged military officers visited China. Today, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, said that at the invitation of China Institute of International Strategic Studies, a delegation of Japanese young and middle-aged military officers will visit China from November 26th to December 4th. The Sino-Japanese exchange program for young and middle-aged officers began in 2001, which played an important role in enhancing understanding and trust between the defense departments of the two countries. We are willing to work with Japan to continue to promote mutual visits and exchanges and provide positive energy for the improvement and development of bilateral relations.Apple is reported to cooperate with Broadcom to develop AI chips, and TSMC's advanced process will welcome big orders again. On December 13, it was reported that Apple intends to invest in self-developed AI chips, jointly develop them with Broadcom, and produce them in TSMC's 3 nm process, and mass-produce them in 2026. The legal person is optimistic that after the development of Apple's self-developed AI chip is completed, the investment is expected, and TSMC's advanced process will usher in another big order. It is understood that Apple's current A-series processors for iPhone and M-series processors for Mac all adopt self-developed strategies, and are exclusively manufactured by TSMC. The legal person believes that once Apple's self-developed chips are extended to AI chips, the cooperation with TSMC will be closer. (Taiwan Province Economic Daily)Guotai Junan: It is expected that the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, and there is a strong opportunity and space for rebound. Guotai Junan Securities recently reported that the lithium price has entered the bottom range by the end of 2024. If the demand maintains the current neutral estimate in 2025, the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range. At present, the market is optimistic about the demand in 2025, and the industry supply has slowed down. It is estimated that the price trend of lithium will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, in which the stage is affected by seasonal factors and there is a strong rebound opportunity and space. The market expected the trading of lithium plate earlier, that is, when the commodity price bottomed out, the lithium plate already contained the expectation of industrial clearing. When the industry actually enters the stage of supply and clearing, the sector will trade commodity price reversal expectations. From this, we infer that the rise of lithium plate will start before the spot price reverses.
Guotai Junan: It is suggested that the beauty care sector with product and channel changes and flexibility should be optimized from the bottom up. Guotai Junan said that after the pressure of consumption in 2022 and the destocking of consumers in 2023, the beauty consumption will return to the normal purchase cycle in 2024, and the industry prosperity will improve month-on-month, and the double-digit growth of online beauty will be achieved. However, after the channel dividend subsided, the platform traffic and price competition became fierce, and the brand differentiation further intensified. Relying on the product innovation and channel operation ability brought by organizational efficiency, the performance of domestic products in the head is still bright, and the rise of new domestic products has spread from beauty cosmetics to personal care. Looking forward to 2025, the market risk appetite will be significantly restored. Because of its many changes and the rising trend of domestic products as a whole, the American nursing sector has obvious growth attributes and significantly benefited from its style. Brand differentiation in the fundamental dimension has intensified, and it is suggested that the flexible target with product and channel changes should be optimized from bottom to top.After the short-term survey was released, the 10-year Japanese government bond futures rose to 142.51.The yen once fell to 152.74 against the US dollar, and the trend fluctuated after the release of the Bank of Japan's short-term survey. After the release of the Bank of Japan's short-term survey, the yen initially rose slightly, but then weakened. The yen once fell 0.1% against the US dollar to 152.74. The 10-year Japanese government bond futures rose 4 points to 142.49.